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Tom Says… Here’s What You Need to Know About the Latest USPS News

Recently we sat down with our colleague, Tom VanWestrienen, also known as our resident USPS expert. We thought it would be helpful to share that latest USPS news with you – and what this means for your direct marketing efforts.

On January 22, postal rates for all classes of mail were increased. Average increases by class were +4.20% (First Class), +6.25% (Marketing Mail Flats), +3.29% (Marketing Mail Letters), +4.20% (Periodicals), and +20.49% (Parcels).

While we know this news is less than ideal, we’re here to help you optimize your direct marketing strategies in the most efficient way possible. In fact, we are excited to share several incentives that would help offset some of your clients’ new costs. Check out our recommendations here: 

  • The USPS is offering a 5% postage discount for their Tactile, Sensory and Interactive promotion from February 1 – July 31, 2023 on First Class and Marketing Mail products. The USPS has approved this promotion for mailing direct mail on coated paper stocks (coated gloss, matte, soft gloss, SCA, etc). 

Our recommendation: All direct mailers should consider applying for the promotion to mitigate the recent January 2023 postal increases.

  • Adding to the Tactile, Sensory and Interactive promotion to maximize postal savings, direct mail marketers should plan on seeking the 2023 Informed Delivery promotion running from August 1 – December 31, 2023. As with 2022, the USPS is offering a 4% postage discount for using Informed Delivery. This provides direct mailers with an effective USPS promotion strategy spanning all of 2023.

Our recommendation: With USPS increases happening twice a year for the foreseeable future, it is critical for customers to come up with an effective strategy that provides savings opportunities throughout the year. Many direct mailers embraced the Informed Delivery promotion in 2022 and this promotion should be mandatory in 2023.

  • The USPS is again offering the Emerging Technology from May 1 – November 30, 2023 (3% or 4% incentive). If customers opt for this promotion, the USPS is offering a new promotion called Retargeting, which provides a 5% incentive from September 1 – November 30, 2023 for Direct Mailers sending out First Class postcards to recent visitors to their website or mobile apps that did not convert.

Our recommendation: There has never been a better time to explore retargeting as an acquisition tactic. If you are not currently retargeting your website visitors, get in touch with us to implement a solution

It is important to note that registration for these promotions needs to take place in the Business Customer Gateway (BCG).  Many of these promotions require advanced USPS approval to ensure the mail pieces meet the requirements of the promotions. Located within the BCG is a Mailing Promotions Portal (MPP), brands can seek approval for individual mail pieces. Refer to the guide here.

Insider Tip: The USPS encourages all approval requested to be entered through the MPP. All samples being sent for USPS approval must be shipped through USPS products, UPS and Federal Express packages will not be accepted.

Unfortunately, Tom says to expect another postal increase in early July. At this point, the impact of this increase is unknown, but changes in the 3-6% range should be expected.

Considering this news (and anticipating more changes!), there’s never been a better time to explore relevant digital channels to help maximize your offline investment. We can help support with various audits to provide valuable insights and recommendations. Diversifying your media mix will propel your business forward.

As always, we asked Tom to describe today’s print marketing environment in one word. For the beginning of Q1 2023, he said “defensive.” Specifically, Tom shared, “It feels like one on one basketball right now. We’re all trying to react effectively while not knowing what challenges the USPS is going to drop on mailers’ laps these days.” Let the teamwork continue so we’re all shooting nothing but net with our marketing campaigns!  

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2022: A Year in Review…

Here’s what we think: 2022 was anything but 2020-Too. If you caught our post last December, we were cautiously optimistic about this year. Bricks-and-mortar continued to hold their own, marketers weathered the storm of privacy concerns and iOS updates and navigated more media channels than ever before.

When we look back at 2022, there are some key trends that come to mind… and get us excited for 2023! Let’s review:

  • Paper Is on Its Way Back!

In July, we reported that paper supply remained tight, and prices were continuing to climb due to steady demand, reduced capacity, and high input costs. Today, demand is softening somewhat, prices are holding steady, and paper is generally becoming more available. Whereas most paper mills have been on allocation or even moratorium, these supply restrictions are easing and the global paper shortage that we have been experiencing is abating. 

That said, so much capacity has come out of the market in the past decade that pricing is expected to remain at elevated levels, especially if demand stays steady in the first half of 2023. Graphic paper supply will continue to decrease in the coming years as mills continue to diversify their product mix. Several mill conversion announcements have already been made that will significantly impact supply going forward. Aligning with strategic suppliers will be paramount for end-user customers.

As direct marketers, we believe in the power of offline media. In fact, marketers have combatted paper challenges with increased use of direct mail, clever interplay between offline and online efforts, innovation with page count and circulation, and more. We’re excited to see where offline media goes in 2023.

  • Shifting Consumer Behavior

While we haven’t been surprised by many trends that have soared in popularity in 2022 – the power of personalization, volume of online shopping and an interest in sustainability – there is inarguably power in consumer behavior. In many cases, changed interests and values have resulted in brands shifting their retail strategy and product innovation.

However, what has also resulted in brands’ shifting strategies? Inflation. “Inflation has driven up the cost of all goods by 8.2% between September 2021- September 2022,” according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (source: Nerd Wallet). It’s important to note that inflation has affected some categories more than others, such as food versus clothing prices. Will there be any relief in 2023? Will supply chain issues resurface? We’ll all have to stay tuned.

  • Data Is Everything

At Media Horizons, our “secret” is placing emphasis on intensive data and analytics to grow our clients’ businesses. Today, online to offline attribution is a major pain point for many companies. That said, without a quality attribution model, upper funnel media has been intensely impacted. Check out more reasons why data (and attribution) are everything!

  • The Future of Paid Social

In 2022, Facebook and Instagram targeting saw a greater impact from Apple’s privacy restrictions that went into place in 2021. Advertisers have had to experiment with a variety of targeting tactics, including broader targeting and more tightly targeted ad copy.  

Audience targeting challenges will continue into 2023, but Facebook and Instagram’s automated targeting has been yielding success in the absence of audience targets that have been removed.

We recommend that advertisers test newer Paid Social platforms like TikTok and BeReal. to see what kind of traction they can get, and diversify their ad formats, such as expanding to Instagram Reels.

  • Postage Updates on the Horizon

In 2021, the industry saw two significant postal changes resulting in double-digit increases for catalogs (Marketing Mail flats) and near double-digit increases for Direct Mail (Marketing Mail letters). In case you didn’t catch the exact percentages, get familiar with them here. The USPS has recently announced their next increase, which will take place in January.

There’s never been a better time to be strategic about your direct mail strategy. Consider changing to a different format – encourage creative thinking with your vendors – and add innovation to your strategy accordingly. Stay tuned for our next “Tom Says…” in which we’ll share everything that you need to know about the USPS updates.

When we look back at trends from this year and ahead to 2023, there is one key theme that comes to mind: omnichannel. The value of an omnichannel strategy is unmatched. If your media mix does not include both online and offline channels (that are working together!), your brand is not as strong as it could be. Be the change and future-proof your business. Connect with us in 2023 to propel your business forward.

 

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Tom Says… Here’s What You Need to Know About the USPS Today Part II

We’re excited to share Part II of our conversation with Tom VanWestrienen of Eliezer Consulting. In follow up to last week’s conversation, we wanted Tom’s perspective on how to handle these USPS updates. For example, are there any opportunities that these changes could present? How can brands adjust to these changes in a positive way? Here’s Tom’s take:

Q: Since it will affect the above formats, how can brands prepare / update their DM strategies accordingly?

Consider changing to a different format. Updating the physical make-up of a piece can move it to another, less expensive rate class. At this juncture, creative thinking while partnering with your vendors on strategy would provide the best overall outcome (we’re talking response rate and cost-efficiency!).

Q: What are some other opportunities that these increases present?

Are you fully utilizing opportunities offered by your printer? Processes such as co-mail or co-bind can reduce postage by improving sortation levels and increasing discounts. Additionally, the USPS offers several promotional discounts which can reduce postage by 2-4%/piece (See 2022 promotional calendar here). The USPS is also continuing the promotional discounts in 2023 with discounts up to 5%.

Q: What are some tips for preparing for the all-important holiday season?

Make sure that every customer is using cooperative mailing programs to minimize postage costs. Co-mailing for flats & periodicals and commingling for letters are cooperative mailing programs that should be used whenever possible. Also, the USPS offers mailing incentives that are too good to pass up. Today, the USPS offers a 4% immediate postal reduction if a direct mailer is using their Informed Delivery program. This program started August 1st and runs through December 31st. The USPS offers other incentives throughout the year and for minimal effort, these savings really add up. We can help you utilize and manage this!

Q: Do you think that we expect any leniency / decreases in early 2023?

Unfortunately, we do not anticipate postage reductions in the future. Postmaster General Louis DeJoy is operating the USPS as a business, and as outlined in the Delivering for America plan, he is focused on achieving financial stability and service excellence at the USPS. 

Q: Tom, can you describe today’s catalog and direct mail market in one word?

Challenging – but there are solutions that help navigate increased postal costs! Let’s have a conversation. Don’t hesitate to reach out!

We hope you enjoyed the first of our quarterly USPS updates from Tom! Each quarter, he’s going to describe the catalog and direct mail market in one word… we’ll see where we net out around this time next year! We’re excited about what the future holds for offline marketing and look forward to partnering with you. For now, that’s what Tom has to say!

 

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Tom Says… Here’s What You Need to Know About the USPS Today

Would you have ever thought the USPS would be such a hot topic? We didn’t! However, the last few years have proven to be challenging when it comes to postal rate increases and how they affect brands’ catalog and direct mail strategies. That said, with challenge, often comes opportunity and reward.

We sat down with Tom VanWestrienen of Eliezer Consulting to get his take on the latest hikes. Not only are the changes daunting, but they can be difficult to understand. Tom is here to tackle some of the tough questions, and hopefully help future-proof your offline strategy. He’s seen it all in his 35 years working with catalogs and direct mail.

Q: What are the latest USPS rate increases for catalogs and direct mail?

The industry saw two significant postal changes in 2021 resulting in double-digit increases for catalogs (Marketing Mail flats) and near double-digit increases for Direct Mail (Marketing Mail letters). On July 10, 2022, the USPS again increased postal rates on average by 8.5% for flats and 6.5% for letters. While these are averages across each class of mail, one really needs to understand the changes on each postal sortation level to fully comprehend how the postage increases impact a customer’s mailing.

A few examples of this are in the August 2021 increase: Larger catalog mailers who consistently achieve high density and saturation sortation levels saw increases in these categories in the range of 11% – 14%, but the USPS impact the Marketing Mail flats class was published at 8.5%. On the latest July 2022 increase, non-profit flats saw significant increases in the range of 11% – 18%. Also, heavier catalogs approaching 16 ounces saw much smaller increases in the range of 2% – 4% with the latest postal increase.

The USPS has also recently announced their next increase, which will take place on January 22, 2023.  Marketing Mail letters can expect an increase of 3.3% while Marketing Mail flats should expect an increase around 6.3%, but just like the 2021 increase, the USPS is hitting high density and basic carrier-route sortation levels more significantly. This results in surges much higher than the announced flat increases for direct mailers who regularly achieve these sortation levels.

Q: Why are there increases for catalogs and direct mail?

To achieve financial sustainability, the USPS is now allowed to pass along two increases annually, one in late January and the other in early July. 

The USPS now determines postal increases based on four factors:

  • – Consumer Price Index (CPI) impact
  • – Address density impact
  • – Retirement funding for its workers
  • – Underwater products in compensatory classes

Current underwater products include Marketing Mail Flats, Marketing Mail Carrier-Route Flats & First Class Flats, which is why their rates are being increased.

Each increase will include some or all the components depending on specific rules around when or how they can be applied to postal increases. We expect that in the next couple of years, the USPS will annually pass along one large increase and one lower increase as they work to become more financially sustainable. Past increases based solely on a CPI factor are no longer in place. Underwater classes will see at least a 2% surcharge on postage to normalize pricing to cover costs.

Q: How will this affect print production and circulation planning?

While costs continue to escalate, direct mailers have been hit especially hard these past few years. One would think that there will be circulation and/or page reductions to help minimize these escalations. We would also expect direct mailers to change the formats of their programs. While overall catalog costs have elevated significantly in the last three years, letter mailing may still be an attractive alternative for direct mailers. “Slim Jim” and letter sized all-inline formats should become more popular because the cost to mail these types of products are much more affordable.

 

Stay tuned for Part II of our conversation next week! In our follow-up conversation with Tom, we discuss how brands can prepare for the all-important holiday season and update their DM strategies for 2023 based on the upcoming USPS changes. Be sure to check in next week!

 

The Truth About Your Campaign Metrics: Facebook Announces that Apple Data Is Skewing Conversions

As digital adoption continues to soar post-pandemic, it is evident just how interconnected we really are. This week, Facebook began to quantify the negative aspects of this interconnectivity.

On Wednesday, September 22nd, Facebook announced that it underreported ad performance due to Apple’s iPhone privacy update for its iOS operating system. Specifically, Facebook estimated that it is currently underreporting web conversions on Apple’s iOS by approximately 15% and that this could affect advertisers of various sizes in many ways.

Why This Happened

Recently, Apple made a pivotal update for its users; now iPhone and iPad users will need to opt in to being tracked when they launch an app for the first time. It is now evident how much this new parameter affected advertisers’ campaigns.

What This Means For You

Facebook Vice President of Product Marketing shared in a blog post: “We believe that real world conversions, like sales and app installs, are higher than what is being reported for many advertisers.” Therefore, the results that you are seeing are likely lower than how your campaign is actually performing. 

How We Can Help

Partnership is at our core. We understand that this is not an ideal situation, but because of our strong industry ties and media relationships, we will get through this together. In fact, our digital and data & analytics teams are already working on solutions and adjustments considering this news, which includes:

  1. Working with our Facebook reps to further understand the percentage of users/conversions being impacted across each of our individual clients, and then building models that factor in the potential data loss
  2. Leveraging our clients’ website analytics tools (Google Analytics, Adobe Analytics, etc.) to measure key engagement and conversion data points to supplement data coming directly from Facebook.
  3. Researching additional technology solutions to layer on top of Facebook and website analytics platforms to help fill any gaps in the data (however, we are in the early days of these new data privacy issues, and this is more of a longer-term play).

As marketers, we always aim to keep our tech stack fresh, current, and innovative. We are looking forward to solving the challenge Facebook and Apple have presented to us. We are especially looking forward to delivering to you the positive results we know your campaign is driving towards. Stay tuned!

Sources include CNBC, Facebook, and AdAge.